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КАРТЫ ГЛОБАЛЬНОЙ ПРОГРАММЫ ОЦЕНКИ СЕЙСМИЧЕСКОЙ ОПАСНОСТИ (GSHAP) ОШИБОЧНЫ
1 Международный институт теории прогноза землетрясений и математической геофизики РАН
2 Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris
2 Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris
Журнал: Вопросы инженерной сейсмологии
Том: 38
Номер: 1
Год: 2011
Страницы: 65-76
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КОСОБОКОВ В.Г., НЕКРАСОВА А.К. КАРТЫ ГЛОБАЛЬНОЙ ПРОГРАММЫ ОЦЕНКИ СЕЙСМИЧЕСКОЙ ОПАСНОСТИ (GSHAP) ОШИБОЧНЫ // Вопросы инженерной сейсмологии. 2011. Т. 38. № 1. С. 65-76.
@article{КОСОБОКОВКАРТЫ2011,
author = "КОСОБОКОВ, В. Г. and НЕКРАСОВА, А. К.",
title = "КАРТЫ ГЛОБАЛЬНОЙ ПРОГРАММЫ ОЦЕНКИ СЕЙСМИЧЕСКОЙ ОПАСНОСТИ (GSHAP) ОШИБОЧНЫ",
journal = "Вопросы инженерной сейсмологии",
year = 2011,
volume = "38",
number = "1",
pages = "65-76",
doi = "",
language = "Russian"
}
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Ключевые слова: землетрясение, мегаземлетрясение, магнитуда, сейсмическая интенсивность, пиковое ускорение
Аннотация: КАРТЫ ГЛОБАЛЬНОЙ ПРОГРАММЫ ОЦЕНКИ СЕЙСМИЧЕСКОЙ ОПАСНОСТИ (GSHAP) ОШИБОЧНЫ
Список литературы: Аптикаев Ф.Ф., Мокрушина Н.Г., Эртелева О.О. Категория сейсмических шкал семейства Меркалли // Вулканология и сейсмология. 2008. № 3. С.74-78.
Штейнберг В.В., Сакс М.В., Аптикаев Ф.Ф., Алказ В.Г., Гусев А.А., Ерохин Л.Ю., Заградник И., Кендзера А.В., Коган Л.А., Лутиков А.И., Попова Е.В., Раутиан Т.Г., Чернов Ю.К. Методы оценки сейсмических воздействий // Вопросы инженерной сейсмологии. 1993. Вып. 34. С.5-94.
Advanced Seismic Hazard Assessment. PAGEOPH Topical Volumes Series / Eds. G. Panza, K. Irikura, M. Kouteva-Guentcheva, A. Peresan, Z. Wang, R. Saragoni. Part I: Seismic Hazard Assessment // Pure Appl. Geophys. 2011. V. 168 (1/2). P.1-366; Part II: Regional Seismic Hazard and Seismic Microzonation Case Studies // Pure Appl. Geophys. V. 168 (3/4). P.367-752.
Castaños H., Lomnitz C. PSHA: is it science? // Eng Geology. 2002. V. 66 (3/4). P.315-318.
Cornell C.A. Engineering seismic risk analysis // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1968. V. 58. P.1583-1606.
Cyranoski D. Japan faces up to failure of its earthquake preparations. Systems for forecasting, early warning and tsunami protection all fell short on 11 March // Nature. 2011. V. 471. 31 March 2011. P.556-557.
D'Amico V., Albarello D., Mantovani E. A distribution-free analysis of magnitudeintensity relationships: an application to the Mediterranean region // Physics and Chemistry of the Earth. Part A: Solid Earth and Geodesy. 1999. V. 24, iss. 6. P.517-521.
Di Maro R., Tertulliani A. The relation between Intensity and Magnitude for Italian earthquakes // Pure Appl. Geophys. 1990. V. 132, N 4. P.711-718.
Gelfand I., Guberman Sh., Izvekova M., Keilis-Borok V., Rantsman E. Criteria of high seismicity, determined by pattern recognition // Tectonophysics. 1972. V. 13. P.415-422.
GHDB, 1989, Global Hypocenters Data Base CD-ROM NEIC/USGS, Denver, CO, 1989 and its updates through March 2011.
Giardini D., Grünthal G., Shedlock K.M., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map // Annali di Geofisica. 1999. V. 42 (6). P.1225-1228.
Giardini D., Grünthal G., Shedlock K.M., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map / Eds. W. Lee, H. Kanamori, P. Jennings, C. Kisslinger // International Handbook of Earthquake & Engineering Seismology, International Geophysics Series 81 B. Amsterdam: Academic Press, 2003. P.1233-1239.
Gorshkov A., Kossobokov V., Soloviev A. Recognition of Earthquake-Prone Areas / Eds. V.I. Keilis-Borok, A.A. Soloviev // Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction. Springer, Heidelberg, 2003. P.239-310.
Gutenberg B., Richter C.F. Earthquake Magnitude, Intensity, Energy, and Acceleration // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1956. V. 46. P.105-145.
Klügel J.-U. Error inflation in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis // Eng. Geol. 2007. V. 90. P.186-192.
Kossobokov V., Shebalin P. Earthquake Prediction / Eds. V.I. Keilis-Borok, A.A. Soloviev // Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction. Heidelberg: Springer, 2003. P.141-207.
López Casado C., Molina S., Giner J.J., Delgado J. Magnitude-Intensity Relationships in the Ibero-Magrebhian Region // Natural Hazards. 2000. V. 22, N 3. P.269-294. DOI: 10.1023/ A:1008142531071
Murphy J.R., O'Brien L.J. The correlation of peak ground acceleration amplitude with seismic intensity and other physical parameters // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1977. V. 67. P.877-915.
Paskaleva I., Dimova S., Panza G.F., Vaccari F. An earthquake scenario for the microzonation of Sophia and the vulnerability of structures designed by use of the Eurocodes // Journal Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 2007. V. 27. P. 1028-1041.
Panza G.F., Romanelli F., Vaccari F. Seismic wave propagation in laterally heterogeneous anelastic media: theory and applications to seismic zonation // Adv. Geophys. 2001. V. 43. P.1-95.
Panza G.F., Romanelli F., Vaccari F., Decanini L., Mollaioli F. Seismic ground motion modelling and damage earthquake scenarios: a possible bridge between seismologists and seismic engineers / Eds. Y.T. Chen, G.F. Panza, Z.L. Wu // Seismological Press, EARTHQUAKE: Hazard, Risk, and Strong Ground Motion. 2004. P.323-349.
Peresan A., Zuccolo E., Vaccari F., Gorshkov A., Panza G.F. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard and Pattern Recognition Techniques: Time-Dependent Scenarios for North-Eastern Italy // Pure Appl. Geophys. 2011. V. 168 (3/4). DOI. 10.1007/s00024-010-0166-1.
Sauter F., Shah H.C. Estudio de seguro contra terremoto. Franz Sauter y Asociados Ltda. San Jose, Costa Rica, 1978. 250 p.
Shedlock K.M., Giardini D., Grünthal G., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map // Seismol. Res. Lett. 2000. V. 71 (6). P.679-686.
Theodulidis N.P., Papazachos B.C. Dependence of strong ground motion on magnitude-distance, site geology and macroseismic intensity for shallow earthquakes in Greece: I, Peak horizontal acceleration, velocity and displacement // Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 1992. V. 11, iss. 7. P.387-402.
Wald D.J., Quitoriano V., Heaton T.H., Kanamori H. Relationships between peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity and modified Mercalli intensity in California // Earthquake Spectra. 1999. V. 15. P.557-564.
Wood H.O., Neumann F. Modified Mercalli Intensity scale of 1931 // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1931. V. 21. P.277-283.
Штейнберг В.В., Сакс М.В., Аптикаев Ф.Ф., Алказ В.Г., Гусев А.А., Ерохин Л.Ю., Заградник И., Кендзера А.В., Коган Л.А., Лутиков А.И., Попова Е.В., Раутиан Т.Г., Чернов Ю.К. Методы оценки сейсмических воздействий // Вопросы инженерной сейсмологии. 1993. Вып. 34. С.5-94.
Advanced Seismic Hazard Assessment. PAGEOPH Topical Volumes Series / Eds. G. Panza, K. Irikura, M. Kouteva-Guentcheva, A. Peresan, Z. Wang, R. Saragoni. Part I: Seismic Hazard Assessment // Pure Appl. Geophys. 2011. V. 168 (1/2). P.1-366; Part II: Regional Seismic Hazard and Seismic Microzonation Case Studies // Pure Appl. Geophys. V. 168 (3/4). P.367-752.
Castaños H., Lomnitz C. PSHA: is it science? // Eng Geology. 2002. V. 66 (3/4). P.315-318.
Cornell C.A. Engineering seismic risk analysis // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1968. V. 58. P.1583-1606.
Cyranoski D. Japan faces up to failure of its earthquake preparations. Systems for forecasting, early warning and tsunami protection all fell short on 11 March // Nature. 2011. V. 471. 31 March 2011. P.556-557.
D'Amico V., Albarello D., Mantovani E. A distribution-free analysis of magnitudeintensity relationships: an application to the Mediterranean region // Physics and Chemistry of the Earth. Part A: Solid Earth and Geodesy. 1999. V. 24, iss. 6. P.517-521.
Di Maro R., Tertulliani A. The relation between Intensity and Magnitude for Italian earthquakes // Pure Appl. Geophys. 1990. V. 132, N 4. P.711-718.
Gelfand I., Guberman Sh., Izvekova M., Keilis-Borok V., Rantsman E. Criteria of high seismicity, determined by pattern recognition // Tectonophysics. 1972. V. 13. P.415-422.
GHDB, 1989, Global Hypocenters Data Base CD-ROM NEIC/USGS, Denver, CO, 1989 and its updates through March 2011.
Giardini D., Grünthal G., Shedlock K.M., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map // Annali di Geofisica. 1999. V. 42 (6). P.1225-1228.
Giardini D., Grünthal G., Shedlock K.M., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map / Eds. W. Lee, H. Kanamori, P. Jennings, C. Kisslinger // International Handbook of Earthquake & Engineering Seismology, International Geophysics Series 81 B. Amsterdam: Academic Press, 2003. P.1233-1239.
Gorshkov A., Kossobokov V., Soloviev A. Recognition of Earthquake-Prone Areas / Eds. V.I. Keilis-Borok, A.A. Soloviev // Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction. Springer, Heidelberg, 2003. P.239-310.
Gutenberg B., Richter C.F. Earthquake Magnitude, Intensity, Energy, and Acceleration // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1956. V. 46. P.105-145.
Klügel J.-U. Error inflation in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis // Eng. Geol. 2007. V. 90. P.186-192.
Kossobokov V., Shebalin P. Earthquake Prediction / Eds. V.I. Keilis-Borok, A.A. Soloviev // Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction. Heidelberg: Springer, 2003. P.141-207.
López Casado C., Molina S., Giner J.J., Delgado J. Magnitude-Intensity Relationships in the Ibero-Magrebhian Region // Natural Hazards. 2000. V. 22, N 3. P.269-294. DOI: 10.1023/ A:1008142531071
Murphy J.R., O'Brien L.J. The correlation of peak ground acceleration amplitude with seismic intensity and other physical parameters // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1977. V. 67. P.877-915.
Paskaleva I., Dimova S., Panza G.F., Vaccari F. An earthquake scenario for the microzonation of Sophia and the vulnerability of structures designed by use of the Eurocodes // Journal Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 2007. V. 27. P. 1028-1041.
Panza G.F., Romanelli F., Vaccari F. Seismic wave propagation in laterally heterogeneous anelastic media: theory and applications to seismic zonation // Adv. Geophys. 2001. V. 43. P.1-95.
Panza G.F., Romanelli F., Vaccari F., Decanini L., Mollaioli F. Seismic ground motion modelling and damage earthquake scenarios: a possible bridge between seismologists and seismic engineers / Eds. Y.T. Chen, G.F. Panza, Z.L. Wu // Seismological Press, EARTHQUAKE: Hazard, Risk, and Strong Ground Motion. 2004. P.323-349.
Peresan A., Zuccolo E., Vaccari F., Gorshkov A., Panza G.F. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard and Pattern Recognition Techniques: Time-Dependent Scenarios for North-Eastern Italy // Pure Appl. Geophys. 2011. V. 168 (3/4). DOI. 10.1007/s00024-010-0166-1.
Sauter F., Shah H.C. Estudio de seguro contra terremoto. Franz Sauter y Asociados Ltda. San Jose, Costa Rica, 1978. 250 p.
Shedlock K.M., Giardini D., Grünthal G., Zhang P. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map // Seismol. Res. Lett. 2000. V. 71 (6). P.679-686.
Theodulidis N.P., Papazachos B.C. Dependence of strong ground motion on magnitude-distance, site geology and macroseismic intensity for shallow earthquakes in Greece: I, Peak horizontal acceleration, velocity and displacement // Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 1992. V. 11, iss. 7. P.387-402.
Wald D.J., Quitoriano V., Heaton T.H., Kanamori H. Relationships between peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity and modified Mercalli intensity in California // Earthquake Spectra. 1999. V. 15. P.557-564.
Wood H.O., Neumann F. Modified Mercalli Intensity scale of 1931 // Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 1931. V. 21. P.277-283.
